Abstract by Bradley Hill
Expected Points and Risk for Various Play Types
We determined change in expected points (Knowlton and Fellingham, 2017) for various play types for BYU and other selected NCAA football teams for the 2017 season. Play types were assigned by characteristics of the play (inside run, outside run, quick pass, etc.). Means and standard deviations for each play type were computed for each team. BYU’s performance was then compared to other selected teams. We will use the results obtained to create a Shiny application that returns the best play type for a given down, distance, and field position.